Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 29°C (39% implied probability) for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued April 16, projecting a maximum of 27-29°C under mostly clear skies. This aligns with the dry season patterns in April, when high elevation (over 2,200 meters) and low humidity enable daytime solar heating to push highs into the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with historical averages around 26°C but slightly warmer amid recent stable atmospheric conditions. Earlier SMN outlooks hinted at 28-30°C, but updated model runs indicate minor cooling from northerly winds. Official airport observations will resolve the market, with uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud cover; watch SMN updates through midday.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 35%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
23%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 35%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
23%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 29°C (39% implied probability) for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued April 16, projecting a maximum of 27-29°C under mostly clear skies. This aligns with the dry season patterns in April, when high elevation (over 2,200 meters) and low humidity enable daytime solar heating to push highs into the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with historical averages around 26°C but slightly warmer amid recent stable atmospheric conditions. Earlier SMN outlooks hinted at 28-30°C, but updated model runs indicate minor cooling from northerly winds. Official airport observations will resolve the market, with uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud cover; watch SMN updates through midday.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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