Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 77°F or below in New York City on April 17, backed by the official National Weather Service measurement at Central Park, which recorded a daily maximum well within this range amid post-frontal cooling. Following an anomalous early-April heat wave—peaking at a record-tying 90°F on April 15 and near 88°F on April 16—a cold frontal passage introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation threats, suppressing daytime heating to near historical mid-April averages around 63°F. Model ensembles from NOAA had anticipated this moderation days prior. Realistic challenges are negligible post-preliminary climatological report release, requiring only a rare data verification revision from archived observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 17 aprile?
77°F o inferiore 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$331,146 Vol.
$331,146 Vol.
17 apr 2026
77°F o inferiore
Sì
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F o superiore
No
77°F o inferiore 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$331,146 Vol.
$331,146 Vol.
17 apr 2026
77°F o inferiore
$114,123 Vol.
Sì
78-79°F
$57,536 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$55,192 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$25,381 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$20,067 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$8,446 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$13,687 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$8,894 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$9,857 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$10,365 Vol.
No
96°F o superiore
$7,598 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 77°F or below in New York City on April 17, backed by the official National Weather Service measurement at Central Park, which recorded a daily maximum well within this range amid post-frontal cooling. Following an anomalous early-April heat wave—peaking at a record-tying 90°F on April 15 and near 88°F on April 16—a cold frontal passage introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation threats, suppressing daytime heating to near historical mid-April averages around 63°F. Model ensembles from NOAA had anticipated this moderation days prior. Realistic challenges are negligible post-preliminary climatological report release, requiring only a rare data verification revision from archived observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$331,146Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 77°F or below in New York City on April 17, backed by the official National Weather Service measurement at Central Park, which recorded a daily maximum well within this range amid post-frontal cooling. Following an anomalous early-April heat wave—peaking at a record-tying 90°F on April 15 and near 88°F on April 16—a cold frontal passage introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation threats, suppressing daytime heating to near historical mid-April averages around 63°F. Model ensembles from NOAA had anticipated this moderation days prior. Realistic challenges are negligible post-preliminary climatological report release, requiring only a rare data verification revision from archived observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$331,146Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 77°F or below in New York City on April 17, backed by the official National Weather Service measurement at Central Park, which recorded a daily maximum well within this range amid post-frontal cooling. Following an anomalous early-April heat wave—peaking at a record-tying 90°F on April 15 and near 88°F on April 16—a cold frontal passage introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation threats, suppressing daytime heating to near historical mid-April averages around 63°F. Model ensembles from NOAA had anticipated this moderation days prior. Realistic challenges are negligible post-preliminary climatological report release, requiring only a rare data verification revision from archived observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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