Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 34.5% implied probability for 78-79°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 17, reflects the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime high in that range amid southwesterly winds advecting warm air from the south. Current unseasonably warm conditions—mid-80s°F observed at nearby stations on April 16—support elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of 60°F, but uncertainty stems from divergent model runs: clearer skies could push 80-83°F (44.5% combined probability) via enhanced solar insolation and boundary layer mixing, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms (noted in recent NWS discussions) might suppress peaks to 77°F or below (22%). Watch for NWS forecast updates this evening and tomorrow morning, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refined short-range guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 17 aprile?
78-79°F 34%
77°F o inferiore 23%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 13%
NUOVO
$24,763 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,763 Vol.
17 apr 2026
77°F o inferiore
23%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F o superiore
<1%
78-79°F 34%
77°F o inferiore 23%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 13%
NUOVO
$24,763 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,763 Vol.
17 apr 2026
77°F o inferiore
$3,602 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$2,027 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$1,250 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$952 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$1,379 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$1,755 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$4,655 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,201 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,056 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$2,699 Vol.
<1%
96°F o superiore
$3,192 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 34.5% implied probability for 78-79°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 17, reflects the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime high in that range amid southwesterly winds advecting warm air from the south. Current unseasonably warm conditions—mid-80s°F observed at nearby stations on April 16—support elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of 60°F, but uncertainty stems from divergent model runs: clearer skies could push 80-83°F (44.5% combined probability) via enhanced solar insolation and boundary layer mixing, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms (noted in recent NWS discussions) might suppress peaks to 77°F or below (22%). Watch for NWS forecast updates this evening and tomorrow morning, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refined short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$24,763Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 34.5% implied probability for 78-79°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 17, reflects the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime high in that range amid southwesterly winds advecting warm air from the south. Current unseasonably warm conditions—mid-80s°F observed at nearby stations on April 16—support elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of 60°F, but uncertainty stems from divergent model runs: clearer skies could push 80-83°F (44.5% combined probability) via enhanced solar insolation and boundary layer mixing, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms (noted in recent NWS discussions) might suppress peaks to 77°F or below (22%). Watch for NWS forecast updates this evening and tomorrow morning, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refined short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,763Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 34.5% implied probability for 78-79°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 17, reflects the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime high in that range amid southwesterly winds advecting warm air from the south. Current unseasonably warm conditions—mid-80s°F observed at nearby stations on April 16—support elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of 60°F, but uncertainty stems from divergent model runs: clearer skies could push 80-83°F (44.5% combined probability) via enhanced solar insolation and boundary layer mixing, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms (noted in recent NWS discussions) might suppress peaks to 77°F or below (22%). Watch for NWS forecast updates this evening and tomorrow morning, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refined short-range guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti