Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 32°C or higher at 71.5% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing peaks of 32–34°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover at the end of the dry season. Recent observations from the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recorded highs of 31–33°C over the past week, aligning with climatological norms of 31–32°C April averages and low precipitation risk. Model agreement is strong, though isolated convective showers could cap intensity; watch updated guidance from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología early on April 17 for potential shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
32°C or higher 72%
31°C 18%
30°C 11%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
71%
32°C or higher 72%
31°C 18%
30°C 11%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 32°C or higher at 71.5% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing peaks of 32–34°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover at the end of the dry season. Recent observations from the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recorded highs of 31–33°C over the past week, aligning with climatological norms of 31–32°C April averages and low precipitation risk. Model agreement is strong, though isolated convective showers could cap intensity; watch updated guidance from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología early on April 17 for potential shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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