Short-term forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, rainfall timing, and daytime heating in Panama City's tropical wet-season environment is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered near 31–33 °C. Typical July highs average 31–32 °C, but afternoon convective storms often limit peak temperatures while variable humidity and sea-breeze effects can push readings slightly higher on clearer days. Official guidance from regional models shows close agreement on the central tendency yet modest spread from steering patterns and localized precipitation, producing the observed tight distribution across adjacent outcomes. Final station observations on July 19 will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 19 luglio?
32°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,831 Vol.
$40,831 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Sì
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,831 Vol.
$40,831 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Sì
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Short-term forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, rainfall timing, and daytime heating in Panama City's tropical wet-season environment is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered near 31–33 °C. Typical July highs average 31–32 °C, but afternoon convective storms often limit peak temperatures while variable humidity and sea-breeze effects can push readings slightly higher on clearer days. Official guidance from regional models shows close agreement on the central tendency yet modest spread from steering patterns and localized precipitation, producing the observed tight distribution across adjacent outcomes. Final station observations on July 19 will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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