Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Paris's highest temperature reaching 19°C on April 16, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing model convergence on this peak amid a strengthening anticyclone over western Europe. This high-pressure system induces subsidence—atmospheric sinking that warms air through compression—while advecting mild southerly air masses, positioning daytime highs above the mid-April climatological norm of 16–17°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Morning observations report 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to variable conditions with low precipitation risk, supporting 18°C (26%) and 20°C (19.5%) as close contenders. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud cover, with intraday updates from official stations determining final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 16 aprile?
19°C 54%
20°C 23%
18°C 21%
17°C 3.0%
NUOVO
$50,992 Vol.
NUOVO
$50,992 Vol.
16 apr 2026
14°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
21%
19°C
54%
20°C
23%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C o superiore
1%
19°C 54%
20°C 23%
18°C 21%
17°C 3.0%
NUOVO
$50,992 Vol.
NUOVO
$50,992 Vol.
16 apr 2026
14°C
$1,388 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,677 Vol.
1%
17°C
$13,275 Vol.
3%
18°C
$5,742 Vol.
21%
19°C
$5,254 Vol.
54%
20°C
$3,441 Vol.
23%
21°C
$4,840 Vol.
2%
22°C
$3,431 Vol.
1%
23°C o superiore
$4,674 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Paris's highest temperature reaching 19°C on April 16, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing model convergence on this peak amid a strengthening anticyclone over western Europe. This high-pressure system induces subsidence—atmospheric sinking that warms air through compression—while advecting mild southerly air masses, positioning daytime highs above the mid-April climatological norm of 16–17°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Morning observations report 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to variable conditions with low precipitation risk, supporting 18°C (26%) and 20°C (19.5%) as close contenders. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud cover, with intraday updates from official stations determining final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$50,992Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Paris's highest temperature reaching 19°C on April 16, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing model convergence on this peak amid a strengthening anticyclone over western Europe. This high-pressure system induces subsidence—atmospheric sinking that warms air through compression—while advecting mild southerly air masses, positioning daytime highs above the mid-April climatological norm of 16–17°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Morning observations report 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to variable conditions with low precipitation risk, supporting 18°C (26%) and 20°C (19.5%) as close contenders. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud cover, with intraday updates from official stations determining final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,992Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Paris's highest temperature reaching 19°C on April 16, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing model convergence on this peak amid a strengthening anticyclone over western Europe. This high-pressure system induces subsidence—atmospheric sinking that warms air through compression—while advecting mild southerly air masses, positioning daytime highs above the mid-April climatological norm of 16–17°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Morning observations report 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to variable conditions with low precipitation risk, supporting 18°C (26%) and 20°C (19.5%) as close contenders. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud cover, with intraday updates from official stations determining final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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