Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 57°F around 4 PM, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "61°F or below." Persistent overcast skies, morning mist, and evening light drizzle suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, despite a mild southerly flow, keeping readings well under the early May climatological normal of 62-63°F. This aligns with model guidance from NOAA forecasting cloudy conditions amid a cool marine layer. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibration, though official records rarely shift after initial hourly METAR reports. Final daily climate summary expected soon from NWS Seattle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 6?
61°F or below 100.0%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$131,037 Vol.
$131,037 Vol.
6 mag 2026
61°F or below
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
61°F or below 100.0%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$131,037 Vol.
$131,037 Vol.
6 mag 2026
61°F or below
$28,168 Vol.
Yes
62-63°F
$13,053 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$12,170 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$12,366 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$14,805 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$18,909 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$8,192 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,803 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$6,381 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,565 Vol.
No
80°F or higher
$7,624 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 57°F around 4 PM, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "61°F or below." Persistent overcast skies, morning mist, and evening light drizzle suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, despite a mild southerly flow, keeping readings well under the early May climatological normal of 62-63°F. This aligns with model guidance from NOAA forecasting cloudy conditions amid a cool marine layer. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibration, though official records rarely shift after initial hourly METAR reports. Final daily climate summary expected soon from NWS Seattle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Volume
$131,037Data di fine
6 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 57°F around 4 PM, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "61°F or below." Persistent overcast skies, morning mist, and evening light drizzle suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, despite a mild southerly flow, keeping readings well under the early May climatological normal of 62-63°F. This aligns with model guidance from NOAA forecasting cloudy conditions amid a cool marine layer. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibration, though official records rarely shift after initial hourly METAR reports. Final daily climate summary expected soon from NWS Seattle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$131,037Data di fine
6 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 57°F around 4 PM, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "61°F or below." Persistent overcast skies, morning mist, and evening light drizzle suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, despite a mild southerly flow, keeping readings well under the early May climatological normal of 62-63°F. This aligns with model guidance from NOAA forecasting cloudy conditions amid a cool marine layer. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibration, though official records rarely shift after initial hourly METAR reports. Final daily climate summary expected soon from NWS Seattle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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