Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate a peak afternoon high near 32–34 °C on 29 August, with mostly clear skies, light-to-moderate westerly flow, and dew points in the low 20s °C limiting additional warming. This consensus, reinforced by current surface observations near 31–33 °C on 28 August and absence of significant synoptic changes, underpins the strong 65.5 % market weighting on 33 °C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing keeps 34 °C and 32 °C as secondary outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Tel Aviv coastal station; traders will monitor the next IMS update and final model cycles for any late adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 29 agosto?
33°C 66%
34°C 22%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
66%
34°C
22%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
34°C 22%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
66%
34°C
22%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate a peak afternoon high near 32–34 °C on 29 August, with mostly clear skies, light-to-moderate westerly flow, and dew points in the low 20s °C limiting additional warming. This consensus, reinforced by current surface observations near 31–33 °C on 28 August and absence of significant synoptic changes, underpins the strong 65.5 % market weighting on 33 °C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing keeps 34 °C and 32 °C as secondary outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Tel Aviv coastal station; traders will monitor the next IMS update and final model cycles for any late adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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