Recent ensemble forecasts from major centers show a likely maximum around 29–30°C in Warsaw on August 3 under persistent high pressure, driving the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. Model consensus remains moderate because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, timing of any weak frontal passage, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical early-August climatology averages near 25°C, so current warmth reflects an anomalous ridge; traders weigh GFS and ECMWF runs against local observations that could alter resolution criteria based on official Polish Institute of Meteorology readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 3 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 3 agosto?
29°C 34%
30°C 21%
28°C 19%
31°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
21%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 21%
28°C 19%
31°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
25°C or below
$16 Vol.
2%
26°C
$20 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C
$34 Vol.
19%
29°C
$7 Vol.
34%
30°C
$9 Vol.
21%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$20 Vol.
3%
34°C
$20 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major centers show a likely maximum around 29–30°C in Warsaw on August 3 under persistent high pressure, driving the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. Model consensus remains moderate because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, timing of any weak frontal passage, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical early-August climatology averages near 25°C, so current warmth reflects an anomalous ridge; traders weigh GFS and ECMWF runs against local observations that could alter resolution criteria based on official Polish Institute of Meteorology readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$140Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major centers show a likely maximum around 29–30°C in Warsaw on August 3 under persistent high pressure, driving the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. Model consensus remains moderate because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, timing of any weak frontal passage, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical early-August climatology averages near 25°C, so current warmth reflects an anomalous ridge; traders weigh GFS and ECMWF runs against local observations that could alter resolution criteria based on official Polish Institute of Meteorology readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major centers show a likely maximum around 29–30°C in Warsaw on August 3 under persistent high pressure, driving the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. Model consensus remains moderate because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, timing of any weak frontal passage, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical early-August climatology averages near 25°C, so current warmth reflects an anomalous ridge; traders weigh GFS and ECMWF runs against local observations that could alter resolution criteria based on official Polish Institute of Meteorology readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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