Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,749 Vol.
$77,749 Vol.
3 mag 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,749 Vol.
$77,749 Vol.
3 mag 2026
19°C or below
$2,412 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,072 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,488 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,209 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,322 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,644 Vol.
No
25°C
$30,716 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,775 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$7,503 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,063 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$3,546 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$77,749Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$77,749Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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