Recent short-range forecasts for Zhengzhou show model outputs clustering near 30–32°C for the August 29 daily maximum, producing the tight market spread between the 30°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Local conditions feature light northeast-to-northwest winds shifting under partly cloudy skies, with limited moisture and modest surface heating that limits strong diurnal rise. Slight differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and regional pressure gradients across ECMWF, GFS, and regional Chinese models create the 1–2°C spread typical at this lead time. Official updates from the Henan Meteorological Service or next NMC guidance will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 29 agosto?
32°C or higher 91%
30°C 47%
31°C 28%
29°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
12%
30°C
47%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
91%
32°C or higher 91%
30°C 47%
31°C 28%
29°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
12%
30°C
47%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Zhengzhou show model outputs clustering near 30–32°C for the August 29 daily maximum, producing the tight market spread between the 30°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Local conditions feature light northeast-to-northwest winds shifting under partly cloudy skies, with limited moisture and modest surface heating that limits strong diurnal rise. Slight differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and regional pressure gradients across ECMWF, GFS, and regional Chinese models create the 1–2°C spread typical at this lead time. Official updates from the Henan Meteorological Service or next NMC guidance will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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