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Politica·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Market icon
Politica·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

apr 17

apr 21

apr 24

apr 17

apr 21

apr 24

<5 15%

10-14 9.2%

5-9 8.7%

55-59 8.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<5 15%

10-14 9.2%

5-9 8.7%

55-59 8.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<5

$812 Vol.

15%

5-9

$660 Vol.

9%

10-14

$651 Vol.

9%

15-19

$691 Vol.

5%

20-24

$855 Vol.

10%

25-29

$684 Vol.

2%

30-34

$675 Vol.

3%

35-39

$635 Vol.

2%

40-44

$679 Vol.

1%

45-49

$654 Vol.

1%

50-54

$700 Vol.

4%

55-59

$715 Vol.

8%

60+

$659 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's post count from April 14-21 reflects its irregular pattern amid Iran's leadership transition following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death, with son Mojtaba Khamenei as new Supreme Leader facing reported severe injuries from late March, limiting official activity. No posts have appeared in the market's first three days (through April 16), extending a slowdown from one post last week (April 13), compared to 2-5 weekly earlier in April tied to commemorative quotes on Zionism, Easter, and U.S. policy. Leading 20-24 (15%) and <5 (15%) bins vie due to uncertainty over staff-managed reposts; 15-19 (14%) close behind on historical averages. Consolidation could stem from prolonged silence favoring lows amid Mojtaba's health reports, or resumed batches for anniversaries boosting mid-range outcomes before April 21 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,072
Data di fine
21 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's post count from April 14-21 reflects its irregular pattern amid Iran's leadership transition following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death, with son Mojtaba Khamenei as new Supreme Leader facing reported severe injuries from late March, limiting official activity. No posts have appeared in the market's first three days (through April 16), extending a slowdown from one post last week (April 13), compared to 2-5 weekly earlier in April tied to commemorative quotes on Zionism, Easter, and U.S. policy. Leading 20-24 (15%) and <5 (15%) bins vie due to uncertainty over staff-managed reposts; 15-19 (14%) close behind on historical averages. Consolidation could stem from prolonged silence favoring lows amid Mojtaba's health reports, or resumed batches for anniversaries boosting mid-range outcomes before April 21 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,072
Data di fine
21 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Domande frequenti

"Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<5" a 14%, seguito da "20-24" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 14¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 11, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?" è "<5" a 14%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "20-24" a 10%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.