Skip to main content
Market icon
Politica·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Market icon
Politica·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

apr 17

apr 21

apr 24

apr 17

apr 21

apr 24

TWEET COUNT
1
Tempo rimanente
TWEETS
1
Tempo rimanente

<5 71%

5-9 10%

15-19 7%

10-14 5.9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<5 71%

5-9 10%

15-19 7%

10-14 5.9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<5

$921 Vol.

71%

5-9

$163 Vol.

29%

10-14

$230 Vol.

19%

15-19

$320 Vol.

21%

20-24

$271 Vol.

11%

25-29

$376 Vol.

1%

30-34

$469 Vol.

3%

35-39

$362 Vol.

3%

40-44

$525 Vol.

1%

45-49

$545 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$795 Vol.

2%

55-59

$648 Vol.

<1%

60+

$1,135 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors under 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at 71% implied probability for April 10-17, reflecting the account's sparse activity since his martyrdom in early 2026 U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran, now managed by his office to share archival statements under a bio declaring him the "martyred Leader." Only one post appeared on April 13—a 1995 message on Prophet Jesus warning against oppression—amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei and domestic unrest, with no escalation in regional tensions or official announcements prompting further output. The 5-9 bin at 28.5% captures slim odds of additional legacy posts before April 17 close, consistent with historical infrequency during non-crisis periods.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,698
Data di fine
17 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors under 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at 71% implied probability for April 10-17, reflecting the account's sparse activity since his martyrdom in early 2026 U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran, now managed by his office to share archival statements under a bio declaring him the "martyred Leader." Only one post appeared on April 13—a 1995 message on Prophet Jesus warning against oppression—amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei and domestic unrest, with no escalation in regional tensions or official announcements prompting further output. The 5-9 bin at 28.5% captures slim odds of additional legacy posts before April 17 close, consistent with historical infrequency during non-crisis periods.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,698
Data di fine
17 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<5" a 71%, seguito da "5-9" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 71¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 7, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?" è "<5" a 71%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "5-9" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.