Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) post count for April 17–24 reflects tight uncertainty following his martyrdom earlier in 2026, with <5 posts leading at 25.5% due to a recent lull—only three archival statements reposted April 5 (Easter message), April 7 (Zionist critique), and April 13 (Prophet Jesus). Competing 10–14 (21.4%) and 35–39 (20.8%) odds draw from variable prior weeks, including 15–19 and 20–24 in early April amid leadership transition signals. Upcoming Assembly of Experts elections starting April 23 or escalatory diplomatic statements on Israel tensions could surge activity, while sustained quiet favors the low end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKhamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?
10-14 20.7%
35-39 20.2%
20-24 15.3%
60+ 14.1%
<5
21%
5-9
15%
10-14
21%
15-19
10%
20-24
15%
25-29
10%
30-34
2%
35-39
20%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
6%
55-59
1%
60+
9%
10-14 20.7%
35-39 20.2%
20-24 15.3%
60+ 14.1%
<5
21%
5-9
15%
10-14
21%
15-19
10%
20-24
15%
25-29
10%
30-34
2%
35-39
20%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
6%
55-59
1%
60+
9%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) post count for April 17–24 reflects tight uncertainty following his martyrdom earlier in 2026, with <5 posts leading at 25.5% due to a recent lull—only three archival statements reposted April 5 (Easter message), April 7 (Zionist critique), and April 13 (Prophet Jesus). Competing 10–14 (21.4%) and 35–39 (20.8%) odds draw from variable prior weeks, including 15–19 and 20–24 in early April amid leadership transition signals. Upcoming Assembly of Experts elections starting April 23 or escalatory diplomatic statements on Israel tensions could surge activity, while sustained quiet favors the low end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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