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Politica·Primarie

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Ralph Alvarado 65%

Ryan Dotson 12.9%

Adam Perez Arquette 8.2%

Greg Plucinski 5%

Polymarket

$17,504 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado 65%

Ryan Dotson 12.9%

Adam Perez Arquette 8.2%

Greg Plucinski 5%

Polymarket

$17,504 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado

$6,847 Vol.

63%

Ryan Dotson

$7,661 Vol.

11%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,426 Vol.

8%

Greg Plucinski

$687 Vol.

5%

Gavin Solomon

$882 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Andy Barr's decision to run for U.S. Senate has created an open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, drawing a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the May 19 closed primary. State Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability, bolstered by his prior legislative experience, alignment with President Trump, and a key endorsement last week from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce signaling business support. State Rep. Ryan Dotson trails at 11.5% after a February debate where both frontrunners agreed on Trump policies, while lesser-known challengers like Adam Perez Arquette (9.8%) and Greg Plucinski (4.5%) lag amid limited polling or fundraising edges for Alvarado. Recent candidate forums underscore conservative credentials as key differentiators.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,504
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Andy Barr's decision to run for U.S. Senate has created an open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, drawing a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the May 19 closed primary. State Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability, bolstered by his prior legislative experience, alignment with President Trump, and a key endorsement last week from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce signaling business support. State Rep. Ryan Dotson trails at 11.5% after a February debate where both frontrunners agreed on Trump policies, while lesser-known challengers like Adam Perez Arquette (9.8%) and Greg Plucinski (4.5%) lag amid limited polling or fundraising edges for Alvarado. Recent candidate forums underscore conservative credentials as key differentiators.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,504
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ralph Alvarado" a 63%, seguito da "Ryan Dotson" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 63¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 63% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $17.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" è "Ralph Alvarado" a 63%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 63% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ryan Dotson" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "KY-06 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.