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Politica·Primarie

Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?

$520,794 Vol.

2 giu 2026
Polymarket

$520,794 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$34,596 Vol.

77%

Tom Steyer

$21,983 Vol.

75%

Chad Bianco

$16,853 Vol.

20%

Matt Mahan

$11,295 Vol.

18%

Katie Porter

$6,400 Vol.

17%

Xavier Becerra

$6,107 Vol.

9%

Elaine Culotti

$1 Vol.

7%

Derek Grasty

$13,258 Vol.

5%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$11,621 Vol.

5%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,470 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Vol.

3%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

3%

Ché Ahn

$17,926 Vol.

3%

Dylan Colbert

$13,381 Vol.

3%

Daniel Mercuri

$8,339 Vol.

3%

Sophia Brink

$37,787 Vol.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$3,172 Vol.

3%

David Thelen

$750 Vol.

3%

Betty Yee

$2,833 Vol.

3%

Ian Calderon

$112,145 Vol.

3%

Brandon Jones

$35,770 Vol.

2%

Leo Zacky

$0 Vol.

2%

Ramsey Robinson

$2,831 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$2,327 Vol.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$6,683 Vol.

2%

Javen Allen

$0 Vol.

11%

Kyle Langford

$10,741 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$7,548 Vol.

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,488 Vol.

2%

David Serpa

$4,501 Vol.

2%

Ryan Tillman

$1,504 Vol.

2%

Leonard Jackson

$3,281 Vol.

2%

Butch Ware

$7,573 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$50,670 Vol.

1%

Tony Thurmond

$1,394 Vol.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$53,642 Vol.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Rep. Eric Swalwell suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations, including a rape claim, redistributing his support to other Democrats and elevating Tom Steyer in recent polls for the June 2 top-two primary. A Mahan internal survey released April 15 shows Republican Steve Hilton leading at 25%, followed by Steyer at 16% and Katie Porter at 14%, while a SurveyUSA poll from April 8-10 had Steyer edging Hilton 21%-18%. Fragmentation among nine Democrats risks a Republican sweep—Hilton and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco—as in prior surveys, though Steyer's surge reflects consolidation. With mail ballots starting early May, endorsements and debates could tip the closely contested field, where trader consensus weighs polling volatility and historical top-two dynamics in deep-blue California.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$520,794
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Rep. Eric Swalwell suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations, including a rape claim, redistributing his support to other Democrats and elevating Tom Steyer in recent polls for the June 2 top-two primary. A Mahan internal survey released April 15 shows Republican Steve Hilton leading at 25%, followed by Steyer at 16% and Katie Porter at 14%, while a SurveyUSA poll from April 8-10 had Steyer edging Hilton 21%-18%. Fragmentation among nine Democrats risks a Republican sweep—Hilton and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco—as in prior surveys, though Steyer's surge reflects consolidation. With mail ballots starting early May, endorsements and debates could tip the closely contested field, where trader consensus weighs polling volatility and historical top-two dynamics in deep-blue California.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$520,794
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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"Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 36 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Steve Hilton" a 77%, seguito da "Tom Steyer" a 75%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 77¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?" ha generato $520.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?", esplora i 36 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?" è "Steve Hilton" a 77%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tom Steyer" a 75%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.