President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position, secured after winning the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal, drives the 90.8% trader consensus against his own impeachment before 2027. His Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the 300-seat National Assembly, far exceeding the two-thirds (200 votes) threshold required to pass an impeachment motion for referral to the Constitutional Court. Recent opposition filibusters against pro-Lee judicial reforms failed despite 24-hour efforts by the fractured People Power Party, whose support has plunged to 17% amid internal leadership battles. Ongoing legal cases against Lee remain suspended, reducing short-term risks, though June 3 local elections could test his momentum if opposition gains ground. Late scandals or economic shocks could shift dynamics, but current parliamentary math favors stability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
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31 dic 2026
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position, secured after winning the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal, drives the 90.8% trader consensus against his own impeachment before 2027. His Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the 300-seat National Assembly, far exceeding the two-thirds (200 votes) threshold required to pass an impeachment motion for referral to the Constitutional Court. Recent opposition filibusters against pro-Lee judicial reforms failed despite 24-hour efforts by the fractured People Power Party, whose support has plunged to 17% amid internal leadership battles. Ongoing legal cases against Lee remain suspended, reducing short-term risks, though June 3 local elections could test his momentum if opposition gains ground. Late scandals or economic shocks could shift dynamics, but current parliamentary math favors stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$6,089Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position, secured after winning the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal, drives the 90.8% trader consensus against his own impeachment before 2027. His Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the 300-seat National Assembly, far exceeding the two-thirds (200 votes) threshold required to pass an impeachment motion for referral to the Constitutional Court. Recent opposition filibusters against pro-Lee judicial reforms failed despite 24-hour efforts by the fractured People Power Party, whose support has plunged to 17% amid internal leadership battles. Ongoing legal cases against Lee remain suspended, reducing short-term risks, though June 3 local elections could test his momentum if opposition gains ground. Late scandals or economic shocks could shift dynamics, but current parliamentary math favors stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$6,089Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position, secured after winning the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal, drives the 90.8% trader consensus against his own impeachment before 2027. His Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the 300-seat National Assembly, far exceeding the two-thirds (200 votes) threshold required to pass an impeachment motion for referral to the Constitutional Court. Recent opposition filibusters against pro-Lee judicial reforms failed despite 24-hour efforts by the fractured People Power Party, whose support has plunged to 17% amid internal leadership battles. Ongoing legal cases against Lee remain suspended, reducing short-term risks, though June 3 local elections could test his momentum if opposition gains ground. Late scandals or economic shocks could shift dynamics, but current parliamentary math favors stability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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