**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with the appeal still pending at an appellate court.** Recent acquittals in separate cases, including a September 2026 power-abuse ruling over an ambassador appointment and a perjury appeal upheld the same month, have not altered his custody status. A Supreme Court decision in July 2026 upheld a separate seven-year term for related offenses involving obstruction and document issues. Multiple ongoing trials, combined with the timeline for resolving high-profile appeals in South Korea’s judicial system, underpin the 92.9% trader-implied probability that he will not be released before 2027. No scheduled events or procedural developments point to early release within the remaining months of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% probabilità
$207,650 Vol.
$207,650 Vol.
31 dic 2026
7% probabilità
$207,650 Vol.
$207,650 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with the appeal still pending at an appellate court.** Recent acquittals in separate cases, including a September 2026 power-abuse ruling over an ambassador appointment and a perjury appeal upheld the same month, have not altered his custody status. A Supreme Court decision in July 2026 upheld a separate seven-year term for related offenses involving obstruction and document issues. Multiple ongoing trials, combined with the timeline for resolving high-profile appeals in South Korea’s judicial system, underpin the 92.9% trader-implied probability that he will not be released before 2027. No scheduled events or procedural developments point to early release within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$207,650Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with the appeal still pending at an appellate court.** Recent acquittals in separate cases, including a September 2026 power-abuse ruling over an ambassador appointment and a perjury appeal upheld the same month, have not altered his custody status. A Supreme Court decision in July 2026 upheld a separate seven-year term for related offenses involving obstruction and document issues. Multiple ongoing trials, combined with the timeline for resolving high-profile appeals in South Korea’s judicial system, underpin the 92.9% trader-implied probability that he will not be released before 2027. No scheduled events or procedural developments point to early release within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$207,650Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with the appeal still pending at an appellate court.** Recent acquittals in separate cases, including a September 2026 power-abuse ruling over an ambassador appointment and a perjury appeal upheld the same month, have not altered his custody status. A Supreme Court decision in July 2026 upheld a separate seven-year term for related offenses involving obstruction and document issues. Multiple ongoing trials, combined with the timeline for resolving high-profile appeals in South Korea’s judicial system, underpin the 92.9% trader-implied probability that he will not be released before 2027. No scheduled events or procedural developments point to early release within the remaining months of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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