President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030, granting him immunity from arrest or prosecution in ongoing criminal cases tied to his pre-presidential roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor. Trials on allegations including the Daejang-dong development scandal and Ssangbangwool remittances were suspended after his 2025 election victory and are scheduled to resume only after his term. Recent police decisions have dismissed fresh complaints, such as Public Official Election Act violations and claims of directing payments to North Korea, citing insufficient evidence. Government committees reviewing prosecutorial conduct have added some of his past cases to fact-finding lists, yet these reviews target prior investigative practices rather than enabling immediate detention. With the short window remaining before 2027 and no active warrants or legislative moves to lift protections reported, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and lack of proximate triggers for arrest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLee Jae-myung arrestato prima del 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrestato prima del 2027?
Sì
8% probabilità
$538,606 Vol.
$538,606 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
8% probabilità
$538,606 Vol.
$538,606 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030, granting him immunity from arrest or prosecution in ongoing criminal cases tied to his pre-presidential roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor. Trials on allegations including the Daejang-dong development scandal and Ssangbangwool remittances were suspended after his 2025 election victory and are scheduled to resume only after his term. Recent police decisions have dismissed fresh complaints, such as Public Official Election Act violations and claims of directing payments to North Korea, citing insufficient evidence. Government committees reviewing prosecutorial conduct have added some of his past cases to fact-finding lists, yet these reviews target prior investigative practices rather than enabling immediate detention. With the short window remaining before 2027 and no active warrants or legislative moves to lift protections reported, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and lack of proximate triggers for arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$538,606Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030, granting him immunity from arrest or prosecution in ongoing criminal cases tied to his pre-presidential roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor. Trials on allegations including the Daejang-dong development scandal and Ssangbangwool remittances were suspended after his 2025 election victory and are scheduled to resume only after his term. Recent police decisions have dismissed fresh complaints, such as Public Official Election Act violations and claims of directing payments to North Korea, citing insufficient evidence. Government committees reviewing prosecutorial conduct have added some of his past cases to fact-finding lists, yet these reviews target prior investigative practices rather than enabling immediate detention. With the short window remaining before 2027 and no active warrants or legislative moves to lift protections reported, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and lack of proximate triggers for arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$538,606Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030, granting him immunity from arrest or prosecution in ongoing criminal cases tied to his pre-presidential roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor. Trials on allegations including the Daejang-dong development scandal and Ssangbangwool remittances were suspended after his 2025 election victory and are scheduled to resume only after his term. Recent police decisions have dismissed fresh complaints, such as Public Official Election Act violations and claims of directing payments to North Korea, citing insufficient evidence. Government committees reviewing prosecutorial conduct have added some of his past cases to fact-finding lists, yet these reviews target prior investigative practices rather than enabling immediate detention. With the short window remaining before 2027 and no active warrants or legislative moves to lift protections reported, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and lack of proximate triggers for arrest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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