Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate Austin overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s for September 6, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with above-average early September warmth, keeping the implied probability tightly clustered among the 72–75°F ranges while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes. Minor variations in timing of any isolated showers or wind shifts could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two, sustaining the market's balanced distribution ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Austin il 6 settembre?
86°F o superiore 59%
68-69°F 49%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
67°F o inferiore
2%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86°F o superiore
59%
86°F o superiore 59%
68-69°F 49%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
67°F o inferiore
2%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86°F o superiore
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate Austin overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s for September 6, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with above-average early September warmth, keeping the implied probability tightly clustered among the 72–75°F ranges while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes. Minor variations in timing of any isolated showers or wind shifts could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two, sustaining the market's balanced distribution ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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