Recent forecast model runs from global ensembles highlight variability in overnight radiative cooling and cold air advection over the Cape Peninsula, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 10–12°C as the most likely minimum on August 22. High-pressure ridging is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance surface cooling, yet residual moisture from a passing front could moderate the low by a degree or two depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August minima in Cape Town average near 8–9°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong katabatic winds support the market’s slight upward tilt. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological agencies is due within the next 12 hours and will likely refine the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Capo il 22 agosto?
11°C 33%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
12°C 27%
6°C o inferiore
3%
7°C
24%
8°C
22%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
33%
12°C
27%
13°C
23%
14°C
21%
15°C
4%
16°C o superiore
2%
11°C 33%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
12°C 27%
6°C o inferiore
3%
7°C
24%
8°C
22%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
33%
12°C
27%
13°C
23%
14°C
21%
15°C
4%
16°C o superiore
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from global ensembles highlight variability in overnight radiative cooling and cold air advection over the Cape Peninsula, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 10–12°C as the most likely minimum on August 22. High-pressure ridging is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance surface cooling, yet residual moisture from a passing front could moderate the low by a degree or two depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August minima in Cape Town average near 8–9°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong katabatic winds support the market’s slight upward tilt. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological agencies is due within the next 12 hours and will likely refine the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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