**Incoming cold air is driving trader focus on Chongqing's September 10 overnight low.** Official monitoring and recent model runs show a frontal boundary arriving late on the 9th, with associated rain and cloud cover expected to suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight. Forecast lows cluster near 19–23 °C across sources, placing the 19 °C threshold and 29 °C+ scenarios at nearly even implied odds as ensembles diverge on frontal timing and moisture. Historical September climatology favors lows near 22 °C, but the current pattern break introduces genuine uncertainty resolved only by updated numerical guidance and observational data ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 10 settembre?
29°C o superiore 90%
22°C 39%
26°C 39%
27°C 39%
19°C o inferiore
36%
20°C
22%
21°C
22%
22°C
39%
23°C
29%
24°C
22%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
38%
29°C o superiore
90%
29°C o superiore 90%
22°C 39%
26°C 39%
27°C 39%
19°C o inferiore
36%
20°C
22%
21°C
22%
22°C
39%
23°C
29%
24°C
22%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
38%
29°C o superiore
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cold air is driving trader focus on Chongqing's September 10 overnight low.** Official monitoring and recent model runs show a frontal boundary arriving late on the 9th, with associated rain and cloud cover expected to suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight. Forecast lows cluster near 19–23 °C across sources, placing the 19 °C threshold and 29 °C+ scenarios at nearly even implied odds as ensembles diverge on frontal timing and moisture. Historical September climatology favors lows near 22 °C, but the current pattern break introduces genuine uncertainty resolved only by updated numerical guidance and observational data ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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