Recent ECMWF and FMI guidance indicates overnight lows near 14–15°C for Helsinki on August 30 amid mild southwesterly flow and scattered showers, keeping the market-implied odds for 11°C or below at 31.5% driven by ensemble spread rather than consensus. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, potential clear spells enhancing heat loss, and minor model disagreements on precipitation timing create the tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes (24–26% each). Historical August minima average near 12°C, but current conditions lack strong cold advection, leaving resolution sensitive to updated model runs and FMI observations through the weekend.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 30 agosto?
11°C or below 57%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
16°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
57%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
37%
11°C or below 57%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
16°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
57%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and FMI guidance indicates overnight lows near 14–15°C for Helsinki on August 30 amid mild southwesterly flow and scattered showers, keeping the market-implied odds for 11°C or below at 31.5% driven by ensemble spread rather than consensus. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, potential clear spells enhancing heat loss, and minor model disagreements on precipitation timing create the tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes (24–26% each). Historical August minima average near 12°C, but current conditions lack strong cold advection, leaving resolution sensitive to updated model runs and FMI observations through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and FMI guidance indicates overnight lows near 14–15°C for Helsinki on August 30 amid mild southwesterly flow and scattered showers, keeping the market-implied odds for 11°C or below at 31.5% driven by ensemble spread rather than consensus. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, potential clear spells enhancing heat loss, and minor model disagreements on precipitation timing create the tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes (24–26% each). Historical August minima average near 12°C, but current conditions lack strong cold advection, leaving resolution sensitive to updated model runs and FMI observations through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and FMI guidance indicates overnight lows near 14–15°C for Helsinki on August 30 amid mild southwesterly flow and scattered showers, keeping the market-implied odds for 11°C or below at 31.5% driven by ensemble spread rather than consensus. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, potential clear spells enhancing heat loss, and minor model disagreements on precipitation timing create the tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes (24–26% each). Historical August minima average near 12°C, but current conditions lack strong cold advection, leaving resolution sensitive to updated model runs and FMI observations through the weekend.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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