Latest forecast models from sources including GFS indicate overnight lows in Istanbul near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting further radiative cooling. Recent observations show minima of 16.8°C on September 15 and 18.3°C on September 16, aligning with the seasonal norm of roughly 15–16°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 16°C and 17°C because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or station-specific measurement can shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while probabilities below 15°C or above 18°C stay minimal given current atmospheric conditions and limited model spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 17 settembre?
15°C o inferiore 90%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
15°C o inferiore
90%
16°C
-
17°C
54%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
15°C o inferiore 90%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
15°C o inferiore
90%
16°C
-
17°C
54%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including GFS indicate overnight lows in Istanbul near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting further radiative cooling. Recent observations show minima of 16.8°C on September 15 and 18.3°C on September 16, aligning with the seasonal norm of roughly 15–16°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 16°C and 17°C because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or station-specific measurement can shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while probabilities below 15°C or above 18°C stay minimal given current atmospheric conditions and limited model spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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