Recent model runs show Istanbul experiencing clearing skies after Wednesday's heavy rain, with northerly flow and potential radiational cooling overnight into September 24. Ensemble guidance and regional models like ICON-EU and GFS indicate a daytime high near 20–22°C but diverge on the overnight minimum, with most projecting 13–16°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions while a few colder solutions dip toward 11°C or below due to lighter winds and drier air. This spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud timing explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 10–13°C. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS updates for shifts in wind speed and dewpoint depression ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 24 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 24 settembre?
17°C o superiore 97%
7°C o inferiore 96%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
96%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C o superiore
97%
17°C o superiore 97%
7°C o inferiore 96%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
96%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$6 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show Istanbul experiencing clearing skies after Wednesday's heavy rain, with northerly flow and potential radiational cooling overnight into September 24. Ensemble guidance and regional models like ICON-EU and GFS indicate a daytime high near 20–22°C but diverge on the overnight minimum, with most projecting 13–16°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions while a few colder solutions dip toward 11°C or below due to lighter winds and drier air. This spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud timing explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 10–13°C. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS updates for shifts in wind speed and dewpoint depression ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show Istanbul experiencing clearing skies after Wednesday's heavy rain, with northerly flow and potential radiational cooling overnight into September 24. Ensemble guidance and regional models like ICON-EU and GFS indicate a daytime high near 20–22°C but diverge on the overnight minimum, with most projecting 13–16°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions while a few colder solutions dip toward 11°C or below due to lighter winds and drier air. This spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud timing explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 10–13°C. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS updates for shifts in wind speed and dewpoint depression ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show Istanbul experiencing clearing skies after Wednesday's heavy rain, with northerly flow and potential radiational cooling overnight into September 24. Ensemble guidance and regional models like ICON-EU and GFS indicate a daytime high near 20–22°C but diverge on the overnight minimum, with most projecting 13–16°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions while a few colder solutions dip toward 11°C or below due to lighter winds and drier air. This spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud timing explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 10–13°C. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS updates for shifts in wind speed and dewpoint depression ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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