Recent atmospheric circulation shifts have produced an "autumn tiger" warming pattern across northern China, with Jinan daytime highs reaching 31–33°C in mid-September and limited cold-air intrusions so far. Ensemble forecasts for the September 19 overnight minimum cluster near 19–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local radiative cooling rates, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties heavily ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution model runs expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 19 settembre?
12°C o inferiore 88%
22°C o superiore 46%
17°C 40%
18°C 22%
12°C o inferiore
88%
13°C
17%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
21%
17°C
24%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C o superiore
46%
12°C o inferiore 88%
22°C o superiore 46%
17°C 40%
18°C 22%
12°C o inferiore
88%
13°C
17%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
21%
17°C
24%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C o superiore
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric circulation shifts have produced an "autumn tiger" warming pattern across northern China, with Jinan daytime highs reaching 31–33°C in mid-September and limited cold-air intrusions so far. Ensemble forecasts for the September 19 overnight minimum cluster near 19–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local radiative cooling rates, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties heavily ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution model runs expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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