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icon for La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?

La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?

icon for La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?

La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?

22°C or below 59%

32°C or higher 59%

24°C 49%

25°C 49%

Polymarket
NUOVO

22°C or below 59%

32°C or higher 59%

24°C 49%

25°C 49%

Polymarket
NUOVO

22°C or below

$0 Vol.

59%

23°C

$0 Vol.

47%

24°C

$0 Vol.

49%

25°C

$0 Vol.

49%

26°C

$0 Vol.

26%

27°C

$0 Vol.

26%

28°C

$0 Vol.

49%

29°C

$0 Vol.

49%

30°C

$0 Vol.

43%

31°C

$0 Vol.

43%

32°C or higher

$0 Vol.

59%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 1 around 26–27°C (79–81°F), consistent with the typical early-September transition out of the monsoon season.** Steady southwest winds off the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (70–90%) and partly cloudy skies, limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated. Recent conditions show similar patterns, with observed lows near 26°C and no significant synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours. Key differentiating factors include the strength and persistence of the sea breeze, which suppresses temperature drops below ~25°C, versus any unexpected increase in cloud cover or light precipitation that could further moderate cooling. Model consensus across sources shows little divergence, with highs near 31–32°C and minimal rain risk. Historical climatology for early September places average lows around 26–27°C, supporting this range over extremes like sub-22°C (requiring unusually clear, calm conditions) or 32°C+ (unlikely without a strong heat advection event). Trader sentiment appears split between these low-probability tails, likely reflecting the near-term resolution window, model uncertainty margins, and the coastal city's narrow diurnal temperature range rather than any major recent developments. Updated official guidance from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department will be the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 1 around 26–27°C (79–81°F), consistent with the typical early-September transition out of the monsoon season.** Steady southwest winds off the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (70–90%) and partly cloudy skies, limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated. Recent conditions show similar patterns, with observed lows near 26°C and no significant synoptic changes expected in the next 48 hours. Key differentiating factors include the strength and persistence of the sea breeze, which suppresses temperature drops below ~25°C, versus any unexpected increase in cloud cover or light precipitation that could further moderate cooling. Model consensus across sources shows little divergence, with highs near 31–32°C and minimal rain risk. Historical climatology for early September places average lows around 26–27°C, supporting this range over extremes like sub-22°C (requiring unusually clear, calm conditions) or 32°C+ (unlikely without a strong heat advection event). Trader sentiment appears split between these low-probability tails, likely reflecting the near-term resolution window, model uncertainty margins, and the coastal city's narrow diurnal temperature range rather than any major recent developments. Updated official guidance from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department will be the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "22°C or below" a 30%, seguito da "32°C or higher" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 30¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 30% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?" è "22°C or below" a 30%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 30% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "32°C or higher" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 1° settembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.