A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 23 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 23 giugno?
18°C 100.0%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,307 Vol.
$20,307 Vol.
23 giu 2026
14°C o inferiore
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sì
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o superiore
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,307 Vol.
$20,307 Vol.
23 giu 2026
14°C o inferiore
$546 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,009 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,301 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,122 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,310 Vol.
Sì
19°C
$3,829 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,279 Vol.
No
21°C
$534 Vol.
No
22°C
$649 Vol.
No
23°C
$727 Vol.
No
24°C o superiore
$999 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,307Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,307Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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