Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 5 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 5 giugno?
12°C 100.0%
6°C o inferiore <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
5 giu 2026
6°C o inferiore
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Sì
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C o superiore
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C o inferiore <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
5 giu 2026
6°C o inferiore
$3,645 Vol.
No
7°C
$469 Vol.
No
8°C
$1,077 Vol.
No
9°C
$6,807 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,171 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,013 Vol.
No
12°C
$5,179 Vol.
Sì
13°C
$3,518 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,592 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,939 Vol.
No
16°C o superiore
$6,425 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$36,837Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,837Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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