Trader sentiment for London's September 20 minimum temperature centers on the 14–15°C range because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office show tight clustering around these values, driven by expected clear skies and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight. Subtle differences between 14°C and 15°C hinge on cloud cover timing, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects in central London, with model spreads reflecting typical short-range uncertainty two days out. Warmer outcomes above 16°C imply stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while colder readings below 13°C would require stronger northerly advection or clearer conditions than current guidance supports. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 20 settembre?
19°C o superiore 49%
12°C 32%
15°C 29%
14°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
32%
13°C
19%
14°C
35%
15°C
36%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C o superiore
49%
19°C o superiore 49%
12°C 32%
15°C 29%
14°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
32%
13°C
$262 Vol.
19%
14°C
$439 Vol.
35%
15°C
$526 Vol.
36%
16°C
$166 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for London's September 20 minimum temperature centers on the 14–15°C range because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office show tight clustering around these values, driven by expected clear skies and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight. Subtle differences between 14°C and 15°C hinge on cloud cover timing, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects in central London, with model spreads reflecting typical short-range uncertainty two days out. Warmer outcomes above 16°C imply stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while colder readings below 13°C would require stronger northerly advection or clearer conditions than current guidance supports. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,392Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for London's September 20 minimum temperature centers on the 14–15°C range because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office show tight clustering around these values, driven by expected clear skies and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight. Subtle differences between 14°C and 15°C hinge on cloud cover timing, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects in central London, with model spreads reflecting typical short-range uncertainty two days out. Warmer outcomes above 16°C imply stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while colder readings below 13°C would require stronger northerly advection or clearer conditions than current guidance supports. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,392Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for London's September 20 minimum temperature centers on the 14–15°C range because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office show tight clustering around these values, driven by expected clear skies and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight. Subtle differences between 14°C and 15°C hinge on cloud cover timing, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects in central London, with model spreads reflecting typical short-range uncertainty two days out. Warmer outcomes above 16°C imply stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while colder readings below 13°C would require stronger northerly advection or clearer conditions than current guidance supports. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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