Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by meteorological services indicate Mexico City’s September 7 minimum will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation and ongoing rainy-season cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and scattered showers reduce temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions, while light winds and high humidity further moderate extremes. Model consensus points to lows near 13 °C, yet small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can differentiate outcomes between 11 °C and 15 °C. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, but traders weigh the latest ensemble runs showing modest variability from Atlantic and Pacific moisture patterns. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 7 settembre?
18°C o superiore 69%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
14%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
24%
18°C o superiore
69%
18°C o superiore 69%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
14%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by meteorological services indicate Mexico City’s September 7 minimum will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation and ongoing rainy-season cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and scattered showers reduce temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions, while light winds and high humidity further moderate extremes. Model consensus points to lows near 13 °C, yet small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can differentiate outcomes between 11 °C and 15 °C. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, but traders weigh the latest ensemble runs showing modest variability from Atlantic and Pacific moisture patterns. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by meteorological services indicate Mexico City’s September 7 minimum will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation and ongoing rainy-season cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and scattered showers reduce temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions, while light winds and high humidity further moderate extremes. Model consensus points to lows near 13 °C, yet small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can differentiate outcomes between 11 °C and 15 °C. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, but traders weigh the latest ensemble runs showing modest variability from Atlantic and Pacific moisture patterns. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by meteorological services indicate Mexico City’s September 7 minimum will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation and ongoing rainy-season cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and scattered showers reduce temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions, while light winds and high humidity further moderate extremes. Model consensus points to lows near 13 °C, yet small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity can differentiate outcomes between 11 °C and 15 °C. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, but traders weigh the latest ensemble runs showing modest variability from Atlantic and Pacific moisture patterns. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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