Current forecast models indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 6 will likely settle near 13°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and widespread rain associated with the ongoing wet season. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation limit overnight temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect further moderates extremes. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this value, yet trader positioning remains split between sub-8°C and 15°C-plus outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized variations across reporting stations. Updated observations from CONAGUA and airport data later today will clarify whether the low aligns with climatological September norms near 13–14°C or deviates due to heavier precipitation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 6 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 89%
15°C 32%
14°C 28%
12°C 27%
7°C o inferiore
89%
8°C
6%
9°C
6%
10°C
9%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C
25%
17°C o superiore
-
7°C o inferiore 89%
15°C 32%
14°C 28%
12°C 27%
7°C o inferiore
89%
8°C
6%
9°C
6%
10°C
9%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C
25%
17°C o superiore
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 6 will likely settle near 13°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and widespread rain associated with the ongoing wet season. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation limit overnight temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect further moderates extremes. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this value, yet trader positioning remains split between sub-8°C and 15°C-plus outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized variations across reporting stations. Updated observations from CONAGUA and airport data later today will clarify whether the low aligns with climatological September norms near 13–14°C or deviates due to heavier precipitation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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