Forecast models for Wuhan on September 8 indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's strong consensus around that level. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international ensembles show overnight radiative cooling moderated by residual heat from daytime highs near 31–34°C, consistent with early-September climatology in the Yangtze basin where typical lows range 22–25°C. Recent forecast updates through September 7 have held steady without signals of a stronger cold advection or increased cloud cover that could shift the minimum lower, while the absence of precipitation supports the current trader-implied probabilities clustering at 22–23°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan l'8 settembre?
23°C 99%
21°C 9%
22°C 4%
20°C 1.6%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
78%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 99%
21°C 9%
22°C 4%
20°C 1.6%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
78%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Wuhan on September 8 indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's strong consensus around that level. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international ensembles show overnight radiative cooling moderated by residual heat from daytime highs near 31–34°C, consistent with early-September climatology in the Yangtze basin where typical lows range 22–25°C. Recent forecast updates through September 7 have held steady without signals of a stronger cold advection or increased cloud cover that could shift the minimum lower, while the absence of precipitation supports the current trader-implied probabilities clustering at 22–23°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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