**Expected widespread rain and thick cloud cover on September 6 are the main factors capping daytime heating in Mexico City.** Multiple forecast models indicate a high of 20–22 °C under overcast skies and 70–90 % precipitation chances, well below the early-September climatological average of ~24–25 °C. Reduced solar insolation from persistent clouds and evaporative cooling from rainfall limit the afternoon temperature peak, keeping outcomes near or below 24 °C most probable. Recent model consensus has shifted toward stronger moisture influx, tightening the distribution around 23–25 °C while trimming odds for 26 °C or higher. The market’s heaviest weighting on 24 °C (43 %) reflects this blend of historical norms and the current cooler, wetter signal, with resolution hinging on official station maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 6 settembre?
24°C 40%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C o superiore 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
20%
24°C
40%
25°C
29%
26°C o superiore
8%
24°C 40%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C o superiore 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$145 Vol.
1%
17°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$90 Vol.
1%
19°C
$170 Vol.
1%
20°C
$43 Vol.
2%
21°C
$36 Vol.
3%
22°C
$76 Vol.
6%
23°C
$89 Vol.
20%
24°C
$265 Vol.
40%
25°C
$545 Vol.
29%
26°C o superiore
$216 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Expected widespread rain and thick cloud cover on September 6 are the main factors capping daytime heating in Mexico City.** Multiple forecast models indicate a high of 20–22 °C under overcast skies and 70–90 % precipitation chances, well below the early-September climatological average of ~24–25 °C. Reduced solar insolation from persistent clouds and evaporative cooling from rainfall limit the afternoon temperature peak, keeping outcomes near or below 24 °C most probable. Recent model consensus has shifted toward stronger moisture influx, tightening the distribution around 23–25 °C while trimming odds for 26 °C or higher. The market’s heaviest weighting on 24 °C (43 %) reflects this blend of historical norms and the current cooler, wetter signal, with resolution hinging on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,685Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Expected widespread rain and thick cloud cover on September 6 are the main factors capping daytime heating in Mexico City.** Multiple forecast models indicate a high of 20–22 °C under overcast skies and 70–90 % precipitation chances, well below the early-September climatological average of ~24–25 °C. Reduced solar insolation from persistent clouds and evaporative cooling from rainfall limit the afternoon temperature peak, keeping outcomes near or below 24 °C most probable. Recent model consensus has shifted toward stronger moisture influx, tightening the distribution around 23–25 °C while trimming odds for 26 °C or higher. The market’s heaviest weighting on 24 °C (43 %) reflects this blend of historical norms and the current cooler, wetter signal, with resolution hinging on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,685Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Expected widespread rain and thick cloud cover on September 6 are the main factors capping daytime heating in Mexico City.** Multiple forecast models indicate a high of 20–22 °C under overcast skies and 70–90 % precipitation chances, well below the early-September climatological average of ~24–25 °C. Reduced solar insolation from persistent clouds and evaporative cooling from rainfall limit the afternoon temperature peak, keeping outcomes near or below 24 °C most probable. Recent model consensus has shifted toward stronger moisture influx, tightening the distribution around 23–25 °C while trimming odds for 26 °C or higher. The market’s heaviest weighting on 24 °C (43 %) reflects this blend of historical norms and the current cooler, wetter signal, with resolution hinging on official station maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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