Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Milan on September 7, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies that limit nocturnal cooling. However, with market-implied odds clustered between 17–20°C and 21–23°C ranges at roughly 25–34% each, traders reflect genuine short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 16–18°C, but current above-normal warmth and light winds support the warmer baseline. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from regional stations will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 7 settembre?
17°C o inferiore 69%
27°C o superiore 59%
18°C 49%
22°C 49%
17°C o inferiore
69%
18°C
49%
19°C
30%
20°C
31%
21°C
29%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
2%
26°C
19%
27°C o superiore
59%
17°C o inferiore 69%
27°C o superiore 59%
18°C 49%
22°C 49%
17°C o inferiore
69%
18°C
49%
19°C
30%
20°C
31%
21°C
29%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
2%
26°C
19%
27°C o superiore
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Milan on September 7, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies that limit nocturnal cooling. However, with market-implied odds clustered between 17–20°C and 21–23°C ranges at roughly 25–34% each, traders reflect genuine short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 16–18°C, but current above-normal warmth and light winds support the warmer baseline. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from regional stations will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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