Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and DWD show expected overnight minimums in Munich on September 24 near 9–11°C, with model consensus tightening around moderate westerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 2°C-or-below (50.0%) and 12°C-or-higher (49.0%) buckets, as traders weigh residual uncertainty in boundary-layer decoupling and any late trough influence that could enhance nocturnal cooling or introduce warmer advection. Specific outcomes clustered around 5–11°C (each ~19–20%) reflect the narrow historical range for late-September nights under similar synoptic patterns, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates will likely compress or shift probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 24 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 24 settembre?
2°C o inferiore 100%
12°C o superiore 98%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
2°C o inferiore
100%
3°C
22%
4°C
28%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
30%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
39%
12°C o superiore
98%
2°C o inferiore 100%
12°C o superiore 98%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
2°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
100%
3°C
$0 Vol.
22%
4°C
$0 Vol.
28%
5°C
$0 Vol.
40%
6°C
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
30%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and DWD show expected overnight minimums in Munich on September 24 near 9–11°C, with model consensus tightening around moderate westerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 2°C-or-below (50.0%) and 12°C-or-higher (49.0%) buckets, as traders weigh residual uncertainty in boundary-layer decoupling and any late trough influence that could enhance nocturnal cooling or introduce warmer advection. Specific outcomes clustered around 5–11°C (each ~19–20%) reflect the narrow historical range for late-September nights under similar synoptic patterns, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates will likely compress or shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and DWD show expected overnight minimums in Munich on September 24 near 9–11°C, with model consensus tightening around moderate westerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 2°C-or-below (50.0%) and 12°C-or-higher (49.0%) buckets, as traders weigh residual uncertainty in boundary-layer decoupling and any late trough influence that could enhance nocturnal cooling or introduce warmer advection. Specific outcomes clustered around 5–11°C (each ~19–20%) reflect the narrow historical range for late-September nights under similar synoptic patterns, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates will likely compress or shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and DWD show expected overnight minimums in Munich on September 24 near 9–11°C, with model consensus tightening around moderate westerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 2°C-or-below (50.0%) and 12°C-or-higher (49.0%) buckets, as traders weigh residual uncertainty in boundary-layer decoupling and any late trough influence that could enhance nocturnal cooling or introduce warmer advection. Specific outcomes clustered around 5–11°C (each ~19–20%) reflect the narrow historical range for late-September nights under similar synoptic patterns, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates will likely compress or shift probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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