Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 11. Elevated dew points near 70°F, light winds, and possible partial cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the low well above the 1991–2020 August average of about 68°F. Trader consensus around the 74–77°F bins reflects tight clustering in ensemble forecasts, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects determining whether the minimum settles near 74°F or edges into the upper 70s. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York l'11 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di New York l'11 agosto?
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F o più alta
1%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
$17 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$22 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$28 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$30 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$101 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$35 Vol.
30%
76-77°F
$4 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$1 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$49 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$223 Vol.
1%
84°F o più alta
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 11. Elevated dew points near 70°F, light winds, and possible partial cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the low well above the 1991–2020 August average of about 68°F. Trader consensus around the 74–77°F bins reflects tight clustering in ensemble forecasts, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects determining whether the minimum settles near 74°F or edges into the upper 70s. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$512Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 11. Elevated dew points near 70°F, light winds, and possible partial cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the low well above the 1991–2020 August average of about 68°F. Trader consensus around the 74–77°F bins reflects tight clustering in ensemble forecasts, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects determining whether the minimum settles near 74°F or edges into the upper 70s. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$512Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 11. Elevated dew points near 70°F, light winds, and possible partial cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the low well above the 1991–2020 August average of about 68°F. Trader consensus around the 74–77°F bins reflects tight clustering in ensemble forecasts, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects determining whether the minimum settles near 74°F or edges into the upper 70s. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti