Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and European ensembles points to a mild overnight minimum for Paris on September 7, with trader odds clustering around 18–21°C reflecting partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow that curbs radiative cooling. High pressure and dew points near 15–17°C limit sharp drops, while variable cloud cover introduces spread between cooler scenarios near 15°C and warmer ones above 22°C. This contrasts with the 1991–2020 average low of 12.4°C, underscoring the influence of current synoptic patterns. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine wind and humidity projections, directly impacting resolution thresholds for these closely matched outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 7 settembre?
15°C o inferiore 69%
20°C 48%
21°C 42%
19°C 26%
15°C o inferiore
69%
16°C
20%
17°C
15%
18°C
22%
19°C
26%
20°C
48%
21°C
42%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C o superiore
3%
15°C o inferiore 69%
20°C 48%
21°C 42%
19°C 26%
15°C o inferiore
69%
16°C
20%
17°C
15%
18°C
22%
19°C
26%
20°C
48%
21°C
42%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C o superiore
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and European ensembles points to a mild overnight minimum for Paris on September 7, with trader odds clustering around 18–21°C reflecting partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow that curbs radiative cooling. High pressure and dew points near 15–17°C limit sharp drops, while variable cloud cover introduces spread between cooler scenarios near 15°C and warmer ones above 22°C. This contrasts with the 1991–2020 average low of 12.4°C, underscoring the influence of current synoptic patterns. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine wind and humidity projections, directly impacting resolution thresholds for these closely matched outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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