Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 16 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Typical mid-August radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity, residual monsoon moisture, and the urban heat island effect, which often keeps overnight lows 1–2°C above rural baselines. Key variables include evolving cloud cover that reduces nocturnal heat loss, potential scattered showers altering boundary-layer mixing, and ensemble spread in global models like ECMWF and GFS. With resolution imminent, traders weigh these factors against historical August minima averaging 22–23°C, explaining the broad probability distribution across 22–26°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 16 agosto?
24°C 30%
23°C 15%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
6%
23°C
15%
24°C
39%
25°C
14%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 30%
23°C 15%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
$20 Vol.
1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
1%
21°C
$25 Vol.
5%
22°C
$63 Vol.
6%
23°C
$37 Vol.
15%
24°C
$381 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C
$15 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C o superiore
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 16 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Typical mid-August radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity, residual monsoon moisture, and the urban heat island effect, which often keeps overnight lows 1–2°C above rural baselines. Key variables include evolving cloud cover that reduces nocturnal heat loss, potential scattered showers altering boundary-layer mixing, and ensemble spread in global models like ECMWF and GFS. With resolution imminent, traders weigh these factors against historical August minima averaging 22–23°C, explaining the broad probability distribution across 22–26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$571Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 16 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Typical mid-August radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity, residual monsoon moisture, and the urban heat island effect, which often keeps overnight lows 1–2°C above rural baselines. Key variables include evolving cloud cover that reduces nocturnal heat loss, potential scattered showers altering boundary-layer mixing, and ensemble spread in global models like ECMWF and GFS. With resolution imminent, traders weigh these factors against historical August minima averaging 22–23°C, explaining the broad probability distribution across 22–26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$571Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 16 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Typical mid-August radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity, residual monsoon moisture, and the urban heat island effect, which often keeps overnight lows 1–2°C above rural baselines. Key variables include evolving cloud cover that reduces nocturnal heat loss, potential scattered showers altering boundary-layer mixing, and ensemble spread in global models like ECMWF and GFS. With resolution imminent, traders weigh these factors against historical August minima averaging 22–23°C, explaining the broad probability distribution across 22–26°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti