Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This consensus, amid a lingering regional heatwave that peaked earlier in the month with highs near 39°C, positions 24–26°C as the dominant market outcomes because typical August nocturnal lows range 22–24°C but current humidity and cloud cover are suppressing further drops. Urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor further anchor overnight readings above historical baselines, while the absence of incoming frontal systems or typhoon influences reduces the chance of sharper cooling to 23°C or below. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.