Current forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns show Shanghai overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and the absence of cooling fronts or typhoon activity. Historical climatology places late-August minima tightly around 26.5–27.5°C, with minimal day-to-day variance this late in the season. No revised model runs or observational shifts in the past 48 hours have introduced meaningful cooling potential, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as the most probable resolutions based on skin-in-the-game trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 27 agosto?
28°C 54%
27°C 40%
29°C 9%
25°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
40%
28°C
54%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 40%
29°C 9%
25°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$292 Vol.
40%
28°C
$126 Vol.
54%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns show Shanghai overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and the absence of cooling fronts or typhoon activity. Historical climatology places late-August minima tightly around 26.5–27.5°C, with minimal day-to-day variance this late in the season. No revised model runs or observational shifts in the past 48 hours have introduced meaningful cooling potential, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as the most probable resolutions based on skin-in-the-game trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$443Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns show Shanghai overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and the absence of cooling fronts or typhoon activity. Historical climatology places late-August minima tightly around 26.5–27.5°C, with minimal day-to-day variance this late in the season. No revised model runs or observational shifts in the past 48 hours have introduced meaningful cooling potential, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as the most probable resolutions based on skin-in-the-game trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$443Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns show Shanghai overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and the absence of cooling fronts or typhoon activity. Historical climatology places late-August minima tightly around 26.5–27.5°C, with minimal day-to-day variance this late in the season. No revised model runs or observational shifts in the past 48 hours have introduced meaningful cooling potential, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as the most probable resolutions based on skin-in-the-game trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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