Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 28, driven by monsoon influences and regional instability. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C amid high humidity and dew points near 25°C. Historical August baselines average 25°C minima, but current steering patterns and model spreads introduce uncertainty between 25°C and 28°C outcomes, which closely align in market pricing. Upcoming official updates from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will refine convective timing and any brief clearing that could shift the low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 28 agosto?
27°C 48%
26°C 45%
25°C 41%
28°C 39%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
41%
26°C
45%
27°C
48%
28°C
39%
29°C
25%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 48%
26°C 45%
25°C 41%
28°C 39%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
41%
26°C
45%
27°C
48%
28°C
39%
29°C
25%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 28, driven by monsoon influences and regional instability. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C amid high humidity and dew points near 25°C. Historical August baselines average 25°C minima, but current steering patterns and model spreads introduce uncertainty between 25°C and 28°C outcomes, which closely align in market pricing. Upcoming official updates from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will refine convective timing and any brief clearing that could shift the low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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