**Persistent cloud cover and moisture from an approaching typhoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning 27°C as the market favorite for Taipei’s lowest temperature on August 27.** Official Central Weather Administration forecasts show nighttime temperatures of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the 45% implied probability on 27°C. Multiple model runs and private forecasts cluster lows between 25–28°C, reflecting elevated humidity (dew points near 25–26°C) and reduced clear-sky cooling typical of late-August monsoon conditions. Historical climatology for the date centers on lows near 25–26°C, but the typhoon’s outer circulation is currently suppressing the usual diurnal drop, supporting the combined ~74% probability mass on 26–28°C. Fresh model consensus and CWA updates overnight will be the primary near-term drivers, as any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings while sustained moisture would reinforce the 27°C outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 27 agosto?
27°C 31%
26°C 29%
28°C 27%
25°C 26%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
6%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
6%
27°C 31%
26°C 29%
28°C 27%
25°C 26%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
6%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and moisture from an approaching typhoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning 27°C as the market favorite for Taipei’s lowest temperature on August 27.** Official Central Weather Administration forecasts show nighttime temperatures of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the 45% implied probability on 27°C. Multiple model runs and private forecasts cluster lows between 25–28°C, reflecting elevated humidity (dew points near 25–26°C) and reduced clear-sky cooling typical of late-August monsoon conditions. Historical climatology for the date centers on lows near 25–26°C, but the typhoon’s outer circulation is currently suppressing the usual diurnal drop, supporting the combined ~74% probability mass on 26–28°C. Fresh model consensus and CWA updates overnight will be the primary near-term drivers, as any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings while sustained moisture would reinforce the 27°C outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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