Current forecast models from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Taipei around 25–27°C on August 29, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflecting modest differences in expected overnight cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention. Subtropical summer conditions, light winds, and possible scattered showers keep radiative cooling limited, while the urban heat island effect in the basin typically prevents drops below 24°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs showing slight variations in boundary-layer moisture against climatological August lows near 26°C, with any last-minute frontal passage or increased cloudiness the key variable that could shift the realized minimum among the leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 29 agosto?
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
23°C 28%
24°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
28%
24°C
26%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
48%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
23°C 28%
24°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$17 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
28%
24°C
$69 Vol.
26%
25°C
$10 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
47%
27°C
$101 Vol.
48%
28°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Taipei around 25–27°C on August 29, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflecting modest differences in expected overnight cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention. Subtropical summer conditions, light winds, and possible scattered showers keep radiative cooling limited, while the urban heat island effect in the basin typically prevents drops below 24°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs showing slight variations in boundary-layer moisture against climatological August lows near 26°C, with any last-minute frontal passage or increased cloudiness the key variable that could shift the realized minimum among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,100Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Taipei around 25–27°C on August 29, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflecting modest differences in expected overnight cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention. Subtropical summer conditions, light winds, and possible scattered showers keep radiative cooling limited, while the urban heat island effect in the basin typically prevents drops below 24°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs showing slight variations in boundary-layer moisture against climatological August lows near 26°C, with any last-minute frontal passage or increased cloudiness the key variable that could shift the realized minimum among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,100Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Taipei around 25–27°C on August 29, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflecting modest differences in expected overnight cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention. Subtropical summer conditions, light winds, and possible scattered showers keep radiative cooling limited, while the urban heat island effect in the basin typically prevents drops below 24°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs showing slight variations in boundary-layer moisture against climatological August lows near 26°C, with any last-minute frontal passage or increased cloudiness the key variable that could shift the realized minimum among the leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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