Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a Tokyo minimum of 26°C on August 27 amid cloudy skies and scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent low-level moisture, high humidity near 80–85%, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover are the dominant factors moderating overnight temperatures following several days of 33–35°C highs. Model spreads in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as lighter rain or partial clearing could allow slightly greater cooling while heavier showers would anchor readings closer to 27°C. Official updates tomorrow morning will refine the precise threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 27 agosto?
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 21%
25°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
13%
26°C
30%
27°C
37%
28°C
21%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 21%
25°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$661 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,454 Vol.
30%
27°C
$555 Vol.
37%
28°C
$297 Vol.
21%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a Tokyo minimum of 26°C on August 27 amid cloudy skies and scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent low-level moisture, high humidity near 80–85%, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover are the dominant factors moderating overnight temperatures following several days of 33–35°C highs. Model spreads in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as lighter rain or partial clearing could allow slightly greater cooling while heavier showers would anchor readings closer to 27°C. Official updates tomorrow morning will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,677Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a Tokyo minimum of 26°C on August 27 amid cloudy skies and scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent low-level moisture, high humidity near 80–85%, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover are the dominant factors moderating overnight temperatures following several days of 33–35°C highs. Model spreads in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as lighter rain or partial clearing could allow slightly greater cooling while heavier showers would anchor readings closer to 27°C. Official updates tomorrow morning will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,677Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a Tokyo minimum of 26°C on August 27 amid cloudy skies and scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent low-level moisture, high humidity near 80–85%, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover are the dominant factors moderating overnight temperatures following several days of 33–35°C highs. Model spreads in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as lighter rain or partial clearing could allow slightly greater cooling while heavier showers would anchor readings closer to 27°C. Official updates tomorrow morning will refine the precise threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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