Forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a Warsaw minimum temperature near 15–16 °C tonight, with the tight clustering of market odds at 14 °C (29.5 %), 15 °C (34 %), and 16 °C (34 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speed, and any late-day showers that could limit radiative cooling. Light south-westerly flow and moderate humidity are expected to keep the boundary layer mixed, preventing sharp drops below 14 °C while allowing clear-sky cooling toward the lower end of the range if skies clear after sunset. Official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and NWP runs will update through the evening, directly influencing trader revisions as the night progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 21 agosto?
15°C 34%
14°C 30%
13°C 2%
12°C o inferiore <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
30%
15°C
34%
16°C
45%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 34%
14°C 30%
13°C 2%
12°C o inferiore <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
$100 Vol.
1%
13°C
$119 Vol.
2%
14°C
$75 Vol.
30%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$16 Vol.
45%
17°C
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
22°C o superiore
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a Warsaw minimum temperature near 15–16 °C tonight, with the tight clustering of market odds at 14 °C (29.5 %), 15 °C (34 %), and 16 °C (34 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speed, and any late-day showers that could limit radiative cooling. Light south-westerly flow and moderate humidity are expected to keep the boundary layer mixed, preventing sharp drops below 14 °C while allowing clear-sky cooling toward the lower end of the range if skies clear after sunset. Official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and NWP runs will update through the evening, directly influencing trader revisions as the night progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,980Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a Warsaw minimum temperature near 15–16 °C tonight, with the tight clustering of market odds at 14 °C (29.5 %), 15 °C (34 %), and 16 °C (34 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speed, and any late-day showers that could limit radiative cooling. Light south-westerly flow and moderate humidity are expected to keep the boundary layer mixed, preventing sharp drops below 14 °C while allowing clear-sky cooling toward the lower end of the range if skies clear after sunset. Official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and NWP runs will update through the evening, directly influencing trader revisions as the night progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,980Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a Warsaw minimum temperature near 15–16 °C tonight, with the tight clustering of market odds at 14 °C (29.5 %), 15 °C (34 %), and 16 °C (34 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speed, and any late-day showers that could limit radiative cooling. Light south-westerly flow and moderate humidity are expected to keep the boundary layer mixed, preventing sharp drops below 14 °C while allowing clear-sky cooling toward the lower end of the range if skies clear after sunset. Official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and NWP runs will update through the evening, directly influencing trader revisions as the night progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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