**Current forecasts for Warsaw on August 28 point to overnight lows of roughly 13–18°C, with model consensus centered near 14–16°C under a southeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions.** High pressure and warm advection maintain mild temperatures, while variable cloud cover and wind speeds (typically 3–5 m/s) control the extent of nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models show modest differences in timing and strength of the southerly airstream, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 13–16°C range. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 28 agosto?
17°C 94%
19°C or higher 92%
18°C 88%
12°C 49%
9°C or below
47%
10°C
46%
11°C
48%
12°C
49%
13°C
48%
14°C
45%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
94%
18°C
88%
19°C or higher
92%
17°C 94%
19°C or higher 92%
18°C 88%
12°C 49%
9°C or below
47%
10°C
46%
11°C
48%
12°C
49%
13°C
48%
14°C
45%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
94%
18°C
88%
19°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Warsaw on August 28 point to overnight lows of roughly 13–18°C, with model consensus centered near 14–16°C under a southeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions.** High pressure and warm advection maintain mild temperatures, while variable cloud cover and wind speeds (typically 3–5 m/s) control the extent of nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models show modest differences in timing and strength of the southerly airstream, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 13–16°C range. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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