Recent high-pressure ridging over the Tasman Sea and a shift to northerly flow have brought clearer skies and milder conditions to Wellington, with official MetService and model guidance (ACCESS-G, UKMO) pointing to an overnight low near 6–8 °C on 24–25 September under light winds and limited cloud cover. Radiational cooling under clear conditions supports the potential for readings in the mid-single digits, while the city’s exposure to mixing northerlies and typical spring climatology (historical September minima around 6–9 °C) keep extremes below 4 °C or above 14 °C less likely. Fresh model runs and MetService updates through 24 September remain the key variables that could shift the narrow market balance between these scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 25 settembre?
14°C o superiore 98%
4°C o inferiore 50%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
4°C o inferiore
50%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C o superiore
98%
14°C o superiore 98%
4°C o inferiore 50%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
4°C o inferiore
50%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure ridging over the Tasman Sea and a shift to northerly flow have brought clearer skies and milder conditions to Wellington, with official MetService and model guidance (ACCESS-G, UKMO) pointing to an overnight low near 6–8 °C on 24–25 September under light winds and limited cloud cover. Radiational cooling under clear conditions supports the potential for readings in the mid-single digits, while the city’s exposure to mixing northerlies and typical spring climatology (historical September minima around 6–9 °C) keep extremes below 4 °C or above 14 °C less likely. Fresh model runs and MetService updates through 24 September remain the key variables that could shift the narrow market balance between these scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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