Skip to main content
Market icon
Politica·Primarie

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 51%

Robert Lulgjuraj 30.9%

Steven Elliott 20.2%

Casey Armitage 8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Mike Bouchard 51%

Robert Lulgjuraj 30.9%

Steven Elliott 20.2%

Casey Armitage 8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Mike Bouchard

$1,811 Vol.

57%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$0 Vol.

22%

Steven Elliott

$0 Vol.

20%

Casey Armitage

$2,278 Vol.

8%

Justin Kirk

$808 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Army veteran Mike Bouchard at 59% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican primary, driven by his decisive first-quarter fundraising haul of $427,000—reported April 15—yielding $847,000 cash on hand and closing the cycle total gap with early entrant Robert Lulgjuraj, who raised $212,000 that period but holds strong Macomb County endorsements from state representatives and commissioners. A March Strategic National poll showed Bouchard leading at 29% amid high undecideds, reflecting his name recognition from Oakland County Sheriff father and border security focus in this open seat race after Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid. Marine veteran Steven Elliott trails at 20% with modest $46,000 raised, while petition filing deadline looms April 21 ahead of the August 4 open primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,896
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Army veteran Mike Bouchard at 59% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican primary, driven by his decisive first-quarter fundraising haul of $427,000—reported April 15—yielding $847,000 cash on hand and closing the cycle total gap with early entrant Robert Lulgjuraj, who raised $212,000 that period but holds strong Macomb County endorsements from state representatives and commissioners. A March Strategic National poll showed Bouchard leading at 29% amid high undecideds, reflecting his name recognition from Oakland County Sheriff father and border security focus in this open seat race after Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid. Marine veteran Steven Elliott trails at 20% with modest $46,000 raised, while petition filing deadline looms April 21 ahead of the August 4 open primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,896
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mike Bouchard" a 57%, seguito da "Robert Lulgjuraj" a 22%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 57¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Dec 18, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" è "Mike Bouchard" a 57%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Robert Lulgjuraj" a 22%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.