Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's commanding lead in the Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary margin stems from official tallies showing her at 40.2% (484,321 votes) to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33.1% (399,331 votes), a 7.1 percentage point edge with over 94% of expected votes counted as of early April. Strong turnout in Chicago, suburbs, and downstate areas propelled her past pre-election polls where the race tightened late, bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, while Krishnamoorthi conceded on election night despite heavy self-funding. Trader consensus reflects stability in the near-final count, with remaining provisional, mail, and overseas ballots unlikely to erase the gap barring an improbable surge for Krishnamoorthi or successful recount challenge. Certification looms without noted disputes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoStratton 6–9% 98.1%
Stratton 9%+ 2.4%
Stratton 3–6% 1.8%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+ 1.0%
$23,580 Vol.
$23,580 Vol.
17 mar 2026
Krishnamoorthi 9%+
1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%
<1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%
<1%
Krishnamoorthi <3%
<1%
Stratton <3%
<1%
Stratton 3–6%
2%
Stratton 6–9%
98%
Stratton 9%+
2%
Altro
1%
Stratton 6–9% 98.1%
Stratton 9%+ 2.4%
Stratton 3–6% 1.8%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+ 1.0%
$23,580 Vol.
$23,580 Vol.
17 mar 2026
Krishnamoorthi 9%+
$3,787 Vol.
1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%
$0 Vol.
<1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%
$1,872 Vol.
<1%
Krishnamoorthi <3%
$0 Vol.
<1%
Stratton <3%
$3,360 Vol.
<1%
Stratton 3–6%
$5,109 Vol.
2%
Stratton 6–9%
$5,228 Vol.
98%
Stratton 9%+
$2,241 Vol.
2%
Altro
$1,984 Vol.
1%
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's commanding lead in the Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary margin stems from official tallies showing her at 40.2% (484,321 votes) to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33.1% (399,331 votes), a 7.1 percentage point edge with over 94% of expected votes counted as of early April. Strong turnout in Chicago, suburbs, and downstate areas propelled her past pre-election polls where the race tightened late, bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, while Krishnamoorthi conceded on election night despite heavy self-funding. Trader consensus reflects stability in the near-final count, with remaining provisional, mail, and overseas ballots unlikely to erase the gap barring an improbable surge for Krishnamoorthi or successful recount challenge. Certification looms without noted disputes.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Volume
$23,580Data di fine
17 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's commanding lead in the Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary margin stems from official tallies showing her at 40.2% (484,321 votes) to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33.1% (399,331 votes), a 7.1 percentage point edge with over 94% of expected votes counted as of early April. Strong turnout in Chicago, suburbs, and downstate areas propelled her past pre-election polls where the race tightened late, bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, while Krishnamoorthi conceded on election night despite heavy self-funding. Trader consensus reflects stability in the near-final count, with remaining provisional, mail, and overseas ballots unlikely to erase the gap barring an improbable surge for Krishnamoorthi or successful recount challenge. Certification looms without noted disputes.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$23,580Data di fine
17 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's commanding lead in the Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary margin stems from official tallies showing her at 40.2% (484,321 votes) to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33.1% (399,331 votes), a 7.1 percentage point edge with over 94% of expected votes counted as of early April. Strong turnout in Chicago, suburbs, and downstate areas propelled her past pre-election polls where the race tightened late, bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, while Krishnamoorthi conceded on election night despite heavy self-funding. Trader consensus reflects stability in the near-final count, with remaining provisional, mail, and overseas ballots unlikely to erase the gap barring an improbable surge for Krishnamoorthi or successful recount challenge. Certification looms without noted disputes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti