President Javier Milei's position remains secure through the end of his term in December 2027, with trader consensus at 92.7% implied probability against early removal, anchored by La Libertad Avanza's status as the largest bloc in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies following the October 2025 midterm landslide victory. This congressional strength enables control of the impeachment commission—recently headed by ally Lilia Lemoine—to block opposition requests filed in early April 2026 over alleged malfeasance and policy missteps. Despite approval ratings dipping to 35-37% amid resurgent inflation, rising unemployment, and lingering corruption probes tied to prior scandals like $Libra, no viable path exists for the two-thirds Deputies vote required to advance impeachment, absent major escalations such as economic collapse or unified opposition coalitions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
$14,255 Vol.
$14,255 Vol.
$14,255 Vol.
$14,255 Vol.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Javier Milei's position remains secure through the end of his term in December 2027, with trader consensus at 92.7% implied probability against early removal, anchored by La Libertad Avanza's status as the largest bloc in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies following the October 2025 midterm landslide victory. This congressional strength enables control of the impeachment commission—recently headed by ally Lilia Lemoine—to block opposition requests filed in early April 2026 over alleged malfeasance and policy missteps. Despite approval ratings dipping to 35-37% amid resurgent inflation, rising unemployment, and lingering corruption probes tied to prior scandals like $Libra, no viable path exists for the two-thirds Deputies vote required to advance impeachment, absent major escalations such as economic collapse or unified opposition coalitions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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